Friday, March 21, 2008

Wait Till After Labor Day

They can be fun to look at, but anyone who pays attention to general election polls right now is just being silly. For example, the Rasmussen poll (but not all others) show McCain ahead of either Democrat. But look at this tidbit: "African-American support for Clinton has collapsed, falling to 55% in the general election match-up."

It's inconceivable Hillary will get only 55% of black votes in the election. In fact, getting less than 75% is not only unlikely, but would be a disaster.

PS Another poll says 20% of Obama or Clinton voters will switch to McCain if their candidate loses. Once again, this is hooey. The dust will settle and they'll deal with it.

The only reason I could see them voting in any significant number against ther own party--though not in this proportion--is as a strategic vote: if Obama/Clinton loses, the Dems will feel remorse and in four years, Clinton/Obama will be the presumptive nominee.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home

web page hit counter